Seismic Risk Assessment and Loss Estimation

IUSS Pavia
EE/ES - Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Seismology
Spring 2017
Date (from - to):
06/02/2017 – 03/03/2017

In the last few decades, a dramatic increase in the losses caused by natural catastrophes has been observed worldwide. Reasons for the increased losses are manifold, though certainly include the increase of world population, the development of new “super-cities” (with a population greater than 2 million) - many of which are located in zones of high seismic hazard - and the high vulnerability of modern societies and technologies, such as the built environment. This course will deal with the treatment of exposure, hazard and vulnerability in earthquake loss models for urban areas and the propagation of the uncertainties within such models. Various case study applications involving the state-of-the-art in catastrophe loss assessment will be presented.
The structure of the course will be as follows:
Week 1 - Assessment of seismic vulnerability of single structures (Nonlinear Static and Dynamic Procedures)
Week 2 - Assessment of seismic vulnerability of groups of structures (Empirical and Analytical Methods)
Week 3 - Hazard, Exposure, Human/Economic Losses, Remote Sensing
Week 4 - Example applications (Istanbul, Italy, Messina, Priolo) and related initiatives (GEM, WRN)